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Research | Time: Apr 25 2019 10:35AM
Polyester supply and demand change in 2019 and outlook for Q2
 
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Foreword
In the first quarter of 2019, product prices in polyester chain did not change much fro, the same period of 2018, but the market structure was altering. The research is based on the logic in polyester chain, and opinions are given on the outlook for the second quarter.

Content (Total 15 pages)
I. Polyester chain price review
II.PX: Supply increases obviously with large refining and chemical projects put into operation.
III.PTA: healthy fundamentals, eyes on cost and run rate under high profit
IV.MEG: sentiment weighed by high inventory, competition for market share in expansion cycle
V.PFY: periodically firm, sound profit, PFY market has pressure in the second half of year after new units starting operation
VI. Conclusion: Polyester industry chain forecast in Q2

List of charts
Chart 1. Price of POY and FDY in 2019
Chart 2. Price of POY and FDY in 2018-2019
Chart 3. Price of crude oil and PX in 2018-2019
Chart 4. Price of major polyester products in 2018-2019
Chart 5. New PX units in 2019
Chart 6. PX-naptha spread in 2018-2019
Chart 7. Global PX capacity growth and PX-naphtha spread in 2010-2019
Chart 8. Supply and demand of PTA in 2018-2019
Chart 9. O/R of PTA market in 2019
Chart 10. Profit of PTA market in 2019
Chart 11. New PTA unit in 2019
Chart 12. Stocks and price of MEG in 2018-2019
Chart 13. Profit of MEG by production route and O/R in 2018-2019
Chart 14. Stocks of PFY and PSF in 2019
Chart 15. Price and profit of POY in 2019
Chart 16. Profit of POY and DTY in 2019
Chart 17. Profit of POY and FDY in 2019
Chart 18. Operating rate in major fabric manufacturing bases in Zhejiang and Jiangsu in 2019
Chart 19. Operating rate in major twisting bases in Zhejiang and Jiangsu in 2019
Chart 20. Startup plan of new PFY units in 2019
Chart 21. Cash flow of polyester products in Mar-Apr, 2019

Table
Table 1. PTA unit status recently

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