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Research | Time:Nov 15 2016 2:14PM
Cotton yarn price ends unilateral downtrend, how it will fare later?
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Content (9 pages)
I. Cotton yarn market stops unilateral downtrend
1. Unilateral downtrend ends
2. Adjust procurement and inventory control strategy
3. Price of spot imported cotton yarn have bottomed out in China

II. Fierce competition between Chinese and imported cotton yarn
1. Price gap of international and Chinese cotton enlarges again recently
2. Demand for imported cotton yarn reduces
3. Import decline from India dominates the picture

III. Cotton yarn market outlook in next three months
1. Price forecast for Chinese cotton yarn
2. Price forecast for imported cotton yarn

Chart 1. Price of cotton yarn 32S since Mar 2011
Chart 2. Cotton yarn inventory in weavers and spinners
Chart 3. Price of Indian C32S in China since Jul 2012
Chart 4. Inventory of spot imported cotton yarn since 2015
Chart 5. Price of international and Chinese cotton
Chart 6. Price spread of Chinese and Indian C32S in 2016
Chart 7. Imports of Indian cotton yarn in China since 2014
Chart 8. Price of international cotton since 2015
Chart 9. Arrival cost of forward cotton yarns since Aug 2016

Figure 1. Major indices comparison between imported and Chinese cotton yarn
Figure 2. Possible cotton yarn cost in future
Figure 3. Cost and profit of imported cotton yarn
Figure 4. Monthly average cost of imported cotton yarns based on ordering cost

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